Severe Weather, Flooding Could Impact East Texas This Wednesday

The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of East Texas in a marginal risk area for severe weather on Wednesday, September 24. A boundary separating very warm, humid air from slightly cooler, drier air is expected to kick off showers and thunderstorms across the eastern third of Texas on Wednesday. The biggest severe weather threat will come from damaging thunderstorm winds exceeding 50 mph. Forecasters do not expect tornadoes or hail to be issues.

The marginal risk of severe weather across Texas extends from southwest Texas through the metros of Austin, San Antonio, and Houston, and northward through the Ark-La-Tex.

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Threat of Isolated Flooding

Rainfall amounts between an inch and two inches could be commonplace, especially near the Interstate 20 corridor. Regions near Lufkin and Nacogdoches should experience a half-inch to an inch of rain. However, there is a slight risk (10%) of isolated totals of 4-5 inches occurring north of Nacogdoches County. This may lead to flash flooding.

Timing of The Storms

For the Tyler/Longview area, the rain chances will begin to rise overnight on Wednesday to about a 50% chance at daybreak. The chance of rain will stay between 50% and 70% throughout the day on Thursday.

Lufkin/Nacogdoches can expect their chance of rain to rise to about 40% by mid-morning, and then rise to an 80% chance during the afternoon and early evening hours.

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