Scott Hughes: Trump’s Path to Electoral College Victory [VIDEO]
Political analyst Scott Hughes dissects Donald Trump's re-election chances and how the President's path to an Electoral College win may be easier than most think.
While most pundits and analysts and even political professionals think that a Trump reelection centers around a Rust Belt sweep, Hughes disagrees.
"People see this national polling and it means nothing," Hughes begins, explaining how the Presidential race is really fifty, single state elections. "(Trump) could lose the popular vote by as many as five million and he could still win because it comes down to about seven states. I keep playing with the (electoral) maps...and I think Pennsylvania is key, but he doesn't need all the Rust Belt states." I start with, can he hold three traditional Republican states? Can he hold Texas, Ohio and Arizona? If Trump can't hold Texas and Ohio we have no conversation. Can he hold Arizona? I sense real momentum for him right now in Arizona."
Then Hughes vision of a Trump victory begins to come together. "If he holds Texas, Ohio and Arizona - Republican strongholds - then it gets interesting. Now you look in the southeast. Can he win Florida? Can he win Georgia? He can win Georgia. It's a Republican state. And most people think he can win in Florida. He won there four years ago and he's up in Florida.
"If he wins those two, now you get really, really, serious," Hughes continues. "(Trump) starts to get wiggle room. At this point you get down to North Carolina, where he's competitive. And now we're back to Pennsylvania. If he wins Pennsylvania...he wins. And keep in mind I didn't mention Wisconsin, Minnesota or Michigan.
Basically, if he holds what he won four years ago, which includes Florida, and he takes Pennsylvania, he wins. He can win without Pennsylvania, but it gets very difficult."