It has been a while since we've seen a forecast like this.

We started off the spring season with a severe weather threat about once a week, then the water got turned off and the oven was set to broil. That's pretty much been our world for the entire summer with the exception of a few hit-and-miss storms.

Finally, we have a weak, semi-stationary front that is stirring up some excitement across Deep East Texas.  The chances for rain and storms in the Pineywoods are pretty significant, and not for just a day or two.  Forecasters are predicting that we will have frequent doses of rain for the next week or so.

via National Weather Service
via National Weather Service
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Take a look at how much total rainfall we're expected to get over the next 7 days, three to five inches, maybe.  We haven't seen a map like this in quite some time.

Although the rain is a very welcome sight, some of these storms could become quite strong or severe. That means some hail and/or winds gusting to 60mph+ could occur with a few of these downpours.  Portions of Trinity County experienced a nasty storm on Wednesday evening.  Centerville ISD had to close classes on Thursday due to damage to the roof of their gym.

Storm Prediction Center
Storm Prediction Center
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According to the Storm Prediction Center, portions of the Pineywoods are set up for another round of strong to severe storms on Thursday afternoon.

I took a look at several weather computer models to see what they had to say about how much rain we will get between now and next Wednesday.  For the most part, Deep East Texas looks to be in for about 2 to 5 inches of rain. However, some models are showing isolated amounts of a foot or more or accumulated rainfall, especially in the Tyler to Texarkana area.

That would be nice to fill up some ponds and lakes, but flash flooding would definitely be a concern.  Download the KICKS 105 App to have weather alerts sent to your smartphone. 

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